BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Alabama St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 76 Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 107.67
Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (5-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/01/2024 Neutral L * 114.52 24 31 1B 29 ( 8- 3) North Carolina Centr 6.85 -4.99 -13.85
2 09/07/2024 Home W 118.78 24 3 2 51 (10- 3) Miles 11.11 1.94 9.89
3 09/14/2024 Away L * 115.53 7 12 1B 46 ( 4- 7) Samford 7.86 4.30 -12.86
4 09/28/2024 Away W * * 101.42 26 21 1B 121 ( 2-10) Bethune-Cookman -6.25 7.11 11.25
5 10/05/2024 Home L * * 89.30 13 28 1B 87 ( 7- 5) Florida A&M -18.36 0.16 3.36
6 10/12/2024 Home W * * 116.44 54 17 1B 126 ( 1-11) Mississippi Valley S 8.78 36.41 28.22
7 10/26/2024 Neutral W * * 110.38 27 19 1B 93 ( 6- 6) Alabama A&M 2.72 7.89 5.28
8 11/02/2024 Neutral W * * 103.43 21 17 1B 105 ( 6- 6) Alcorn St -4.23 11.16 8.23
9 11/09/2024 Away L * * 103.42 23 24 1B 100 ( 5- 7) Grambling St -4.25 4.84 3.25
10 11/16/2024 Home L * * 111.01 10 16 1B 36 (12- 2) Jackson St 3.35 -4.14 -9.35
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 96.71 9 6 1B 118 ( 5- 7) Prairie View A&M -10.95 16.58 13.95
12 11/28/2024 Home W 111.05 34 6 2 103 ( 5- 6) Tuskegee 3.38 23.69 24.62
Averages 107.67 22.7 16.7
Best game: 118.78 = 21 point win over Miles
Worst game: 89.30 = 15 point loss to Florida A&M
Team stdev: 8.90